TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 12:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Harrison Satara and Maxim Shin in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Satara' if Harrison Satara advances against Maxim Shin. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Shin' if Maxim Shin advances against Harrison Satara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Harrison Satara and Maxim Shin in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Satara' if Harrison Satara advances against Maxim Shin. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Shin' if Maxim Shin advances against Harrison Satara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the Harrison Satara vs Maxim Shin match. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions in this market that push the price towards their assessment. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, or simply reflecting a different set of information and perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Harrison Satara vs Maxim Shin match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Harrison Satara vs Maxim Shin match. The platform will verify the final result against reliable sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Sep 16, 2026. News regarding injuries to either Harrison Satara or Maxim Shin would likely have a significant impact. Any announcements about changes to the match schedule or location could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, analysis from sports commentators or unexpected changes in public sentiment could shift trader beliefs and move the market. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to this event could also influence how traders assess the likelihood of either athlete winning.