TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 12:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Geun Jun Kim and Harrison Satara in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Geun Jun Kim' if Geun Jun Kim advances against Harrison Satara. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Satara' if Harrison Satara advances against Geun Jun Kim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Geun Jun Kim and Harrison Satara in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Geun Jun Kim' if Geun Jun Kim advances against Harrison Satara. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Satara' if Harrison Satara advances against Geun Jun Kim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. If you find significant differences between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, assuming you have a strong conviction about the true probability.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event happening. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the M15 Wuning: Geun Jun Kim vs Harrison Satara match. Verification will rely on widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the confirmed outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Geun Jun Kim or Harrison Satara, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in rankings, recent performance data, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also cause movement in this market.