TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 1:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Colin Sinclair and Qian Sun in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Colin Sinclair' if Colin Sinclair advances against Qian Sun. This market will resolve to 'Qian Sun' if Qian Sun advances against Colin Sinclair. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Colin Sinclair and Qian Sun in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Colin Sinclair' if Colin Sinclair advances against Qian Sun. This market will resolve to 'Qian Sun' if Qian Sun advances against Colin Sinclair. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. If there’s a significant difference between the implied probability here and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a specific player, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is entirely determined by supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Wuning tennis match between Colin Sinclair and Qian Sun. The platform will look to established tennis authorities to verify the winner, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts predicting a clear favorite, could also impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals and understanding their potential effect on the match outcome is key to making informed trading decisions in this market.