TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arya Dubey and Xiuyuan Ye in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arya Dubey' if Arya Dubey advances against Xiuyuan Ye. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Ye' if Xiuyuan Ye advances against Arya Dubey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arya Dubey and Xiuyuan Ye in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arya Dubey' if Arya Dubey advances against Xiuyuan Ye. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Ye' if Xiuyuan Ye advances against Arya Dubey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the opinions of many informed traders. However, discrepancies can exist, particularly early on, as sportsbooks set initial lines and prediction markets build volume. It's common to see the odds on Polymarket converge with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and trading activity increases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand; if more people believe Arya Dubey will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase, and vice versa for Xiuyuan Ye.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning tennis match between Arya Dubey and Xiuyuan Ye, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will determine the winner based on the official match results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injuries or recent match results for either Arya Dubey or Xiuyuan Ye, would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions at the match location, or even significant shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, could also impact the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, or even general tennis news, could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bets on Polymarket.