TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 9:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vardan Manukyan and Ignacio Monzon in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vardan Manukyan' if Vardan Manukyan advances against Ignacio Monzon. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Monzon' if Ignacio Monzon advances against Vardan Manukyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vardan Manukyan and Ignacio Monzon in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vardan Manukyan' if Vardan Manukyan advances against Ignacio Monzon. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Monzon' if Ignacio Monzon advances against Vardan Manukyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information is factored in. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages among traders, or simply variations in how each entity assesses the likelihood of a particular outcome. It is common to see differences between the two, reflecting the unique dynamics of each.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tsaghkadzor tennis match between Vardan Manukyan and Ignacio Monzon. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine the final settlement of the market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the resolved outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, or even updates on the players’ recent performance in other tournaments, could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to impact the price of shares in this market.