TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 8:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vanik Avetisyan and Frederik Brindoepke in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vanik Avetisyan' if Vanik Avetisyan advances against Frederik Brindoepke. This market will resolve to 'Frederik Brindoepke' if Frederik Brindoepke advances against Vanik Avetisyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vanik Avetisyan and Frederik Brindoepke in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vanik Avetisyan' if Vanik Avetisyan advances against Frederik Brindoepke. This market will resolve to 'Frederik Brindoepke' if Frederik Brindoepke advances against Vanik Avetisyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each player winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in Vanik Avetisyan, for example, the price of those shares will increase, reflecting growing confidence in his victory. The total volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and conviction behind each outcome. Currently, the market indicates a strong preference for Vanik Avetisyan.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tsaghkadzor tennis match between Vanik Avetisyan and Frederik Brindoepke. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders who hold shares in the winning player will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the trading fee, while shares in the losing player will be worth zero.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception could lead to significant price movements. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also trigger trading. Furthermore, large volume purchases by informed traders, or even social media buzz surrounding either player, could quickly shift the odds on Polymarket. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 13, 2026.