TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ruslan Tiukaev and Lorenzo Ferri in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Tiukaev' if Ruslan Tiukaev advances against Lorenzo Ferri. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Ferri' if Lorenzo Ferri advances against Ruslan Tiukaev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ruslan Tiukaev and Lorenzo Ferri in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Tiukaev' if Ruslan Tiukaev advances against Lorenzo Ferri. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Ferri' if Lorenzo Ferri advances against Ruslan Tiukaev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into the perceived value of various potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tsaghkadzor match between Ruslan Tiukaev and Lorenzo Ferri. Any official announcement regarding the match's completion and winner will serve as the basis for determining the final outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 17, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Ruslan Tiukaev or Lorenzo Ferri, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in their recent performance or tactical adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader news related to the M15 Tsaghkadzor tournament, or even weather conditions affecting the match, could introduce volatility and lead to price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements or developments will be quickly reflected in the market.