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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
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2,692
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39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 5:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Kharlamov and Egor Shcherbakov in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Kharlamov' if Roman Kharlamov advances against Egor Shcherbakov. This market will resolve to 'Egor Shcherbakov' if Egor Shcherbakov advances against Roman Kharlamov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Kharlamov and Egor Shcherbakov in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Kharlamov' if Roman Kharlamov advances against Egor Shcherbakov. This market will resolve to 'Egor Shcherbakov' if Egor Shcherbakov advances against Roman Kharlamov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader opinions, potentially leading to different probabilities assigned to each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical analysis and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and sentiment emerge, offering a potentially more accurate reflection of true probabilities as perceived by the crowd.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a collective assessment of the event’s potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and participant sentiment regarding the Kharlamov vs Shcherbakov match.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kharlamov vs Shcherbakov match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, broader trends in the players’ recent performance or public perception of their chances in the competition could drive volume and impact the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 16, 2026.