TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Radimir Lutkovskii and Davit Zogranian in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radimir Lutkovskii' if Radimir Lutkovskii advances against Davit Zogranian. This market will resolve to 'Davit Zogranian' if Davit Zogranian advances against Radimir Lutkovskii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Radimir Lutkovskii and Davit Zogranian in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radimir Lutkovskii' if Radimir Lutkovskii advances against Davit Zogranian. This market will resolve to 'Davit Zogranian' if Davit Zogranian advances against Radimir Lutkovskii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Lutkovskii vs Zogranian match, the prediction market may show a different probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the event’s potential results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lutkovskii vs Zogranian match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the fair chance of a specific outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lutkovskii vs Zogranian match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and reliable sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payout based on their share holdings at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor for official announcements regarding the match’s completion.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the athletes’ preparation could influence trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports experts, shifts in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks, and even social media buzz surrounding the Lutkovskii vs Zogranian match could all contribute to price fluctuations. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also cause traders to reassess their predictions, leading to changes in the market’s implied probabilities.