TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 8:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Savelov and Oleg Kolninov in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Savelov' if Pavel Savelov advances against Oleg Kolninov. This market will resolve to 'Oleg Kolninov' if Oleg Kolninov advances against Pavel Savelov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Savelov and Oleg Kolninov in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Savelov' if Pavel Savelov advances against Oleg Kolninov. This market will resolve to 'Oleg Kolninov' if Oleg Kolninov advances against Pavel Savelov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Currently, the market is heavily favoring Qualifying: Completed Match: Pavel Savelov vs Oleg Kolninov, as indicated by its high chance percentage. The volume traded provides insight into the confidence level behind these prices.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tsaghkadzor fight, specifically whether the Qualifying: Completed Match: Pavel Savelov vs Oleg Kolninov occurred as scheduled and completed. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding the health or form of either Pavel Savelov or Oleg Kolninov would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes to the match schedule, such as postponements or cancellations, could also cause volatility. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment or the emergence of new information about the fighters’ strategies could lead to traders adjusting their positions, thereby moving the market. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts.