TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 7:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Vavassori and Niklas Guttau in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Vavassori' if Matteo Vavassori advances against Niklas Guttau. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Guttau' if Niklas Guttau advances against Matteo Vavassori. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Vavassori and Niklas Guttau in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Vavassori' if Matteo Vavassori advances against Niklas Guttau. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Guttau' if Niklas Guttau advances against Matteo Vavassori. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on new information or differing opinions. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can drive the prediction market odds in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments emerge leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tsaghkadzor tennis match between Matteo Vavassori and Niklas Guttau. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. For example, if one player has a strong performance in a preceding match, or if there are reports of an injury affecting the other player, the odds could change significantly. Unexpected weather conditions at the Tsaghkadzor venue could also play a role, as could any late-breaking analysis from tennis experts. These events can all contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions.