TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 4:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Ferri and Ilya Ignatov in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Ferri' if Lorenzo Ferri advances against Ilya Ignatov. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ignatov' if Ilya Ignatov advances against Lorenzo Ferri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Ferri and Ilya Ignatov in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Ferri' if Lorenzo Ferri advances against Ilya Ignatov. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ignatov' if Ilya Ignatov advances against Lorenzo Ferri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential result of the Tsaghkadzor tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular player, the higher the price, and therefore the higher the implied probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market for the Tsaghkadzor tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tsaghkadzor tennis match between Lorenzo Ferri and Ilya Ignatov, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome in this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create momentum and move the market in a particular direction before the Tsaghkadzor tennis match takes place.