TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 6:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lawrence Bataljin and Egor Pleshivtsev in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lawrence Bataljin' if Lawrence Bataljin advances against Egor Pleshivtsev. This market will resolve to 'Egor Pleshivtsev' if Egor Pleshivtsev advances against Lawrence Bataljin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lawrence Bataljin and Egor Pleshivtsev in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lawrence Bataljin' if Lawrence Bataljin advances against Egor Pleshivtsev. This market will resolve to 'Egor Pleshivtsev' if Egor Pleshivtsev advances against Lawrence Bataljin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to collectively assess the probability of each outcome. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it may indicate disagreement about the likely result or differing levels of information available to each group. It’s important to consider both when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tsaghkadzor tennis match between Lawrence Bataljin and Egor Pleshivtsev. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. The outcome will be determined by the official match result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 16, 2026. News regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match performances, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the Tsaghkadzor venue could also impact the perceived advantage of either player. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, or even general shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.