TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 2:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karol Malirz and Egor Khotchenkov in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karol Malirz' if Karol Malirz advances against Egor Khotchenkov. This market will resolve to 'Egor Khotchenkov' if Egor Khotchenkov advances against Karol Malirz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karol Malirz and Egor Khotchenkov in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karol Malirz' if Karol Malirz advances against Egor Khotchenkov. This market will resolve to 'Egor Khotchenkov' if Egor Khotchenkov advances against Karol Malirz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders, who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, the odds here can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines, potentially offering value to informed bettors who identify discrepancies. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market constantly adjusts to new information and reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tsaghkadzor tennis match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will verify the result against established sports news sources and official tournament records to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding player form, such as injuries or recent match results, would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions in Tsaghkadzor could also shift expectations. Furthermore, changes in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could affect trading activity and move the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential price movements.