TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Dermenjyan and Vladimir Osminkin in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Dermenjyan' if Jack Dermenjyan advances against Vladimir Osminkin. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Osminkin' if Vladimir Osminkin advances against Jack Dermenjyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Dermenjyan and Vladimir Osminkin in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Dermenjyan' if Jack Dermenjyan advances against Vladimir Osminkin. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Osminkin' if Vladimir Osminkin advances against Jack Dermenjyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and the overall sentiment of the trading community. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tsaghkadzor match between Jack Dermenjyan and Vladimir Osminkin. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or referee assignments might also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these factors and observing the market’s reaction can provide insights into how the perceived probability of each outcome is evolving.