TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 6:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fermin Tenti and Ruslan Tiukaev in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Tenti' if Fermin Tenti advances against Ruslan Tiukaev. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Tiukaev' if Ruslan Tiukaev advances against Fermin Tenti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fermin Tenti and Ruslan Tiukaev in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Tenti' if Fermin Tenti advances against Ruslan Tiukaev. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Tiukaev' if Ruslan Tiukaev advances against Fermin Tenti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while prediction markets aim to reflect the true probability as assessed by traders. Therefore, this market's odds may differ from sportsbook lines due to varying information, biases, and the incentive structure of each venue. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, particularly when a large number of participants contribute to the pricing.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tsaghkadzor tennis match between Fermin Tenti and Ruslan Tiukaev. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets, to determine which player secured victory in the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Fermin Tenti or Ruslan Tiukaev, or changes in weather conditions at the Tsaghkadzor venue could all impact trader sentiment. Additionally, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume purchases could also cause shifts in the odds. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move this market.