TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 6:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dmitry Bessonov and Florent Lagarrigue in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Bessonov' if Dmitry Bessonov advances against Florent Lagarrigue. This market will resolve to 'Florent Lagarrigue' if Florent Lagarrigue advances against Dmitry Bessonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dmitry Bessonov and Florent Lagarrigue in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Bessonov' if Dmitry Bessonov advances against Florent Lagarrigue. This market will resolve to 'Florent Lagarrigue' if Florent Lagarrigue advances against Dmitry Bessonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that they have access to information not yet reflected in the sportsbook’s lines. This difference can create opportunities for arbitrage.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Bessonov vs Lagarrigue match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders acting as both market makers and speculators. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tsaghkadzor match between Dmitry Bessonov and Florent Lagarrigue. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 26, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Dmitry Bessonov or Florent Lagarrigue, such as injury reports or illness announcements, would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in form leading up to the match, or any strategic adjustments announced by either competitor's team, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other related matches could also subtly shift expectations and influence trading volume.