TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 4:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko and Vladimir Osminkin in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko' if Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko advances against Vladimir Osminkin. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Osminkin' if Vladimir Osminkin advances against Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko and Vladimir Osminkin in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko' if Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko advances against Vladimir Osminkin. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Osminkin' if Vladimir Osminkin advances against Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, or to exhibit different levels of confidence in a particular outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Vishenko vs Osminkin match. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is visible on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tsaghkadzor match between Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko and Vladimir Osminkin. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event and any potential delays that may affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players might also impact confidence. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Major announcements about the tournament itself, such as changes to the schedule or venue, could also cause movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.