TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 7:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Davit Poghosyan and Lorenzo Ferri in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Davit Poghosyan' if Davit Poghosyan advances against Lorenzo Ferri. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Ferri' if Lorenzo Ferri advances against Davit Poghosyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Davit Poghosyan and Lorenzo Ferri in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Davit Poghosyan' if Davit Poghosyan advances against Lorenzo Ferri. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Ferri' if Lorenzo Ferri advances against Davit Poghosyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public perception shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into where the crowd and the experts disagree about the likely outcome of the Tsaghkadzor tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match’s potential results. The current volume indicates significant interest in this event.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tsaghkadzor tennis match between Davit Poghosyan and Lorenzo Ferri, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or analysis from tennis experts could sway the market. Monitoring these signals and events will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market leading up to Sep 16, 2026.