TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Denolly and Ignacio Monzon in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Denolly' if Corentin Denolly advances against Ignacio Monzon. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Monzon' if Ignacio Monzon advances against Corentin Denolly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Denolly and Ignacio Monzon in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Denolly' if Corentin Denolly advances against Ignacio Monzon. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Monzon' if Ignacio Monzon advances against Corentin Denolly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might suggest an opportunity for value betting, where traders believe the market has mispriced the outcome. However, it's important to consider that both reflect probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tsaghkadzor tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, and changes as new information or opinions emerge. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the tennis match between Corentin Denolly and Ignacio Monzon as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or court surface could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tennis tournaments or shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis could all contribute to changes in the odds. Even high-profile endorsements or social media activity surrounding the players could create volatility in this market before Sep 19, 2026.