TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 8:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksander Konstantin and Yannick Castelnuovo in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksander Konstantin' if Aleksander Konstantin advances against Yannick Castelnuovo. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Castelnuovo' if Yannick Castelnuovo advances against Aleksander Konstantin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksander Konstantin and Yannick Castelnuovo in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksander Konstantin' if Aleksander Konstantin advances against Yannick Castelnuovo. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Castelnuovo' if Yannick Castelnuovo advances against Aleksander Konstantin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Aleksander Konstantin will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa for Yannick Castelnuovo. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the M15 Tsaghkadzor tennis match between Aleksander Konstantin and Yannick Castelnuovo. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official tennis results to understand when the market will be settled and how their positions will be evaluated.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injuries or recent match results for either Aleksander Konstantin or Yannick Castelnuovo, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions in Tsaghkadzor, if they impact the playing surface or conditions, might also be a catalyst. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself could create momentum and move the market, reflecting changes in trader sentiment leading up to the match.