TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 3:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rocco Valente and Nicolas Villalon Valdes in the M15 Trelew, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Valente' if Rocco Valente advances against Nicolas Villalon Valdes. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Villalon Valdes' if Nicolas Villalon Valdes advances against Rocco Valente. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rocco Valente and Nicolas Villalon Valdes in the M15 Trelew, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Valente' if Rocco Valente advances against Nicolas Villalon Valdes. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Villalon Valdes' if Nicolas Villalon Valdes advances against Rocco Valente. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate sharp lines and adjustments, prediction markets let traders vote continuously on outcomes, capturing niche insights or rapid shifts in sentiment. The gap between the two can widen if new information emerges, such as player injuries or weather concerns, showing how decentralized pricing reacts differently from institutional sportsbook models.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set prices through open orders and liquidity pools, creating a dynamic market price that updates with each new trade. The top outcome’s implied chance reflects the collective view of active participants, adjusting instantly to news, form, and betting volume. This mechanism allows rapid price discovery tailored to how Polymarket users interpret the latest developments.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting the winner as recorded by authoritative sports databases and news outlets. No further interpretation is needed beyond the publicly confirmed result.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, changes to match conditions such as surface or weather, and performance trends leading up to the event. Any last-minute updates from coaches, tournament organizers, or media reports may also sway trader sentiment. As the match nears, real-time updates and pre-match betting spikes often produce noticeable price movements.