TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 7:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Gagliardo and Francisco Gay in the M15 Trelew, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Gagliardo' if Lorenzo Gagliardo advances against Francisco Gay. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Gay' if Francisco Gay advances against Lorenzo Gagliardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Gagliardo and Francisco Gay in the M15 Trelew, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Gagliardo' if Lorenzo Gagliardo advances against Francisco Gay. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Gay' if Francisco Gay advances against Lorenzo Gagliardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect the collective wisdom of traders who actively buy and sell contracts, often incorporating nuanced insights and real-time news. Sportsbook odds, by contrast, are set by professional oddsmakers who factor in broader public betting trends and additional risk parameters. Comparing the two can reveal whether traders are more or less confident than traditional sportsbooks in the fighters’ chances.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders directly set prices through buying and selling shares tied to each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of participants, expressed as a probability that includes recent trading volume of $5,030. Liquidity and active discussion can shift this price rapidly as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the fight result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official declaration — whether by knockout, submission, judges’ scorecards, or other bout endings — determines the paying outcome for all open positions.