TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 1:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Nicolas Bruna in the M15 Trelew, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Nicolas Bruna. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Bruna' if Nicolas Bruna advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Nicolas Bruna in the M15 Trelew, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Nicolas Bruna. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Bruna' if Nicolas Bruna advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader-driven pricing and lower overheads. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and risk management, this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of participants, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders watch for discrepancies that signal shifts in public or insider sentiment before the match.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks. The current implied probability represents the collective view of participants, adjusting dynamically with each trade. Market depth and recent activity heavily influence pricing, allowing rapid shifts based on new information or sentiment swings.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The platform checks reputable sports news sources and official tournament records to verify the winner, ensuring the market settles accurately after the final point is played and reported.