TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 11:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Giovanni Branchetti in the M15 Trelew, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Giovanni Branchetti. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Branchetti' if Giovanni Branchetti advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Giovanni Branchetti in the M15 Trelew, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Giovanni Branchetti. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Branchetti' if Giovanni Branchetti advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal risk assessments, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s lifecycle, as information and opinions evolve. Comparing these odds can provide valuable insight into public sentiment and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Carlos Maria Zarate versus Giovanni Branchetti tennis match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly based on the final result. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed outcome to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 9, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.