TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 9:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentino Grippo and Giannicola Misasi in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentino Grippo' if Valentino Grippo advances against Giannicola Misasi. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Valentino Grippo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentino Grippo and Giannicola Misasi in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentino Grippo' if Valentino Grippo advances against Giannicola Misasi. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Valentino Grippo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or access to unique information. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering value compared to fixed sportsbook lines. Analyzing these differences can be a useful strategy for informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets. The current volume traded showcases the level of interest in this particular match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Telavi tennis match between Valentino Grippo and Giannicola Misasi. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and trustworthy sources, such as official tournament results or recognized sports news outlets. The final outcome will determine which shares payout and at what rate, based on the market's pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes in this market.