TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 11:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Matic Dimic in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Matic Dimic. This market will resolve to 'Matic Dimic' if Matic Dimic advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Matic Dimic in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Matic Dimic. This market will resolve to 'Matic Dimic' if Matic Dimic advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and allow participants to hedge their bets. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they differ significantly from this market's implied probabilities. It’s important to compare both to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in market participants between sportsbooks and Polymarket.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The market's liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influences price discovery. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of a particular result in the Derepasko vs Dimic match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Telavi match between Timofei Derepasko and Matic Dimic. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in their strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is crucial for understanding how this market might evolve in the lead-up to the Derepasko vs Dimic match.