TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 8:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ruslan Tiukaev and Stijn Paardekooper in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Tiukaev' if Ruslan Tiukaev advances against Stijn Paardekooper. This market will resolve to 'Stijn Paardekooper' if Stijn Paardekooper advances against Ruslan Tiukaev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ruslan Tiukaev and Stijn Paardekooper in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Tiukaev' if Ruslan Tiukaev advances against Stijn Paardekooper. This market will resolve to 'Stijn Paardekooper' if Stijn Paardekooper advances against Ruslan Tiukaev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It’s important to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to make informed decisions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tiukaev vs Paardekooper match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the probability of a particular outcome, and traders can adjust their positions accordingly based on new information or changing opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Telavi match between Ruslan Tiukaev and Stijn Paardekooper. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on fighter strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Additionally, significant bets placed by informed traders or large volume spikes could indicate new information or a change in market perception, potentially leading to movement in the odds for this market.