TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 7:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pietro Ricci and Matic Hribar in the M15 Telavi, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Ricci' if Pietro Ricci advances against Matic Hribar. This market will resolve to 'Matic Hribar' if Matic Hribar advances against Pietro Ricci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pietro Ricci and Matic Hribar in the M15 Telavi, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Ricci' if Pietro Ricci advances against Matic Hribar. This market will resolve to 'Matic Hribar' if Matic Hribar advances against Pietro Ricci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately assess the probability of an outcome. While sportsbooks might initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets can dynamically adjust as more information and diverse opinions enter the system, potentially revealing discrepancies between public perception and informed prediction.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point, representing the market's collective forecast. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Ricci vs Hribar match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Telavi match between Pietro Ricci and Matic Hribar, as determined by the tournament organizers. The platform will then verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Pietro Ricci or Matic Hribar, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches featuring these players, or even broader shifts in public opinion regarding their performance, could also cause the market to move. Finally, significant trading volume itself can act as a signal, potentially indicating the emergence of new information or a change in market consensus.