TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavlo Bodnarchuk and Matteo Sabbatini in the M15 Telavi, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavlo Bodnarchuk' if Pavlo Bodnarchuk advances against Matteo Sabbatini. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Sabbatini' if Matteo Sabbatini advances against Pavlo Bodnarchuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavlo Bodnarchuk and Matteo Sabbatini in the M15 Telavi, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavlo Bodnarchuk' if Pavlo Bodnarchuk advances against Matteo Sabbatini. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Sabbatini' if Matteo Sabbatini advances against Pavlo Bodnarchuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is determined by the share price relative to $1, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Telavi match between Pavlo Bodnarchuk and Matteo Sabbatini. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to Oct 4, 2026.