TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Mecarelli and Dmitry Popko in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Mecarelli' if Michele Mecarelli advances against Dmitry Popko. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Popko' if Dmitry Popko advances against Michele Mecarelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Mecarelli and Dmitry Popko in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Mecarelli' if Michele Mecarelli advances against Dmitry Popko. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Popko' if Dmitry Popko advances against Michele Mecarelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mecarelli vs Popko match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability estimate. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s interface allows users to see the current price of each share, the total volume traded, and the implied probability of each outcome, providing a transparent view of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Telavi match between Michele Mecarelli and Dmitry Popko, as reported by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The precise timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes might also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could trigger price swings, especially if they signal a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential market movements related to the Mecarelli vs Popko match.