TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 7:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Angeloni and Vaal Urankar in the M15 Telavi, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Angeloni' if Leonardo Angeloni advances against Vaal Urankar. This market will resolve to 'Vaal Urankar' if Vaal Urankar advances against Leonardo Angeloni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Angeloni and Vaal Urankar in the M15 Telavi, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Angeloni' if Leonardo Angeloni advances against Vaal Urankar. This market will resolve to 'Vaal Urankar' if Vaal Urankar advances against Leonardo Angeloni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can also be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or promotional considerations. This market, driven by informed traders on Polymarket, can incorporate a broader range of information and potentially offer a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating growing confidence in that outcome, while selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Telavi tennis match between Leonardo Angeloni and Vaal Urankar. Specifically, the market will determine which player won the match. The platform will rely on established tennis data sources to verify the result and finalize the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player withdrawals or alterations to the match schedule would also be key catalysts. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.