TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 4:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between KIDLAT ESTOGERO and Andre Megrabian in the M15 Telavi, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'KIDLAT ESTOGERO' if KIDLAT ESTOGERO advances against Andre Megrabian. This market will resolve to 'Andre Megrabian' if Andre Megrabian advances against KIDLAT ESTOGERO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between KIDLAT ESTOGERO and Andre Megrabian in the M15 Telavi, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'KIDLAT ESTOGERO' if KIDLAT ESTOGERO advances against Andre Megrabian. This market will resolve to 'Andre Megrabian' if Andre Megrabian advances against KIDLAT ESTOGERO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated intelligence of all traders involved. The current implied probability of a particular fighter winning is visible in the share price.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Telavi fight between KIDLAT ESTOGERO and Andre Megrabian. The platform will identify the winner based on the official fight record. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be evaluated based on widely accepted standards for determining fight outcomes. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight commentary from analysts could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight classes or potential rule changes could also have an impact. Public polls or expert predictions, while not directly impacting the market, might influence trader behavior. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning is likely to cause fluctuations in the market price until the event resolves.