TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Ferrari and Dmitry Popko in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Ferrari' if Francesco Ferrari advances against Dmitry Popko. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Popko' if Dmitry Popko advances against Francesco Ferrari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Ferrari and Dmitry Popko in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Ferrari' if Francesco Ferrari advances against Dmitry Popko. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Popko' if Dmitry Popko advances against Francesco Ferrari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market is driven by participants directly forecasting the outcome. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate disagreement about the likely result of the Ferrari vs Popko match, or differing assessments of player form and potential upsets. It’s useful to compare these odds to gain a broader perspective on the event's possible outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ferrari vs Popko match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and sentiment. This dynamic pricing means the market is constantly updating its forecast based on the collective intelligence of its participants, rather than a fixed oddsmaker’s assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Ferrari vs Popko match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which player won the match, as determined by official tournament results. Resolution will occur after the match concludes and official results are published, ensuring a clear and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market. The final price of shares will reflect the actual result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 3, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or even updated rankings could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also have a significant impact. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Ferrari vs Popko match is likely to cause movement in the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.