TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 7:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Edoardo Cherie Ligniere and Michele Mecarelli in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Cherie Ligniere' if Edoardo Cherie Ligniere advances against Michele Mecarelli. This market will resolve to 'Michele Mecarelli' if Michele Mecarelli advances against Edoardo Cherie Ligniere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Edoardo Cherie Ligniere and Michele Mecarelli in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Cherie Ligniere' if Edoardo Cherie Ligniere advances against Michele Mecarelli. This market will resolve to 'Michele Mecarelli' if Michele Mecarelli advances against Edoardo Cherie Ligniere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's lifecycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Observing these differences can be insightful for those following the Cherie Ligniere vs Mecarelli match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cherie Ligniere vs Mecarelli match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Telavi match between Edoardo Cherie Ligniere and Michele Mecarelli. The platform will verify the results against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official announcements regarding the match to stay informed about the resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Edoardo Cherie Ligniere or Michele Mecarelli could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in market sentiment and cause prices to adjust rapidly. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.