TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 10:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Klok and Edouard Villoslada in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Klok' if Denis Klok advances against Edouard Villoslada. This market will resolve to 'Edouard Villoslada' if Edouard Villoslada advances against Denis Klok. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Klok and Edouard Villoslada in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Klok' if Denis Klok advances against Edouard Villoslada. This market will resolve to 'Edouard Villoslada' if Edouard Villoslada advances against Denis Klok. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one player, but this market shows a more balanced distribution, it could indicate disagreement or access to different information. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will happen, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Telavi tennis match between Denis Klok and Edouard Villoslada. The platform will verify the result against official tournament data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis rankings, could also play a role. Additionally, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals can help understand the dynamics of this market.