TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 1:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandre Shvangiradze and Michele Mecarelli in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandre Shvangiradze' if Aleksandre Shvangiradze advances against Michele Mecarelli. This market will resolve to 'Michele Mecarelli' if Michele Mecarelli advances against Aleksandre Shvangiradze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandre Shvangiradze and Michele Mecarelli in the M15 Telavi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandre Shvangiradze' if Aleksandre Shvangiradze advances against Michele Mecarelli. This market will resolve to 'Michele Mecarelli' if Michele Mecarelli advances against Aleksandre Shvangiradze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs directly. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. The current volume traded provides insight into how actively this market is being assessed by users.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the M15 Telavi tennis match between Aleksandre Shvangiradze and Michele Mecarelli will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official tournament results to establish the winner of this match and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or recent performance could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the M15 Telavi tournament might influence overall perceptions of player capabilities and affect trading behavior in this market. Monitoring tennis news and tournament updates will be key to understanding potential shifts.