TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 12:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Piotr Galus and Michael Agwi in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Piotr Galus' if Piotr Galus advances against Michael Agwi. This market will resolve to 'Michael Agwi' if Michael Agwi advances against Piotr Galus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Piotr Galus and Michael Agwi in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Piotr Galus' if Piotr Galus advances against Michael Agwi. This market will resolve to 'Michael Agwi' if Michael Agwi advances against Piotr Galus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that there's an arbitrage opportunity. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional forecasts, particularly when a large and informed group participates.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates the collective expectation regarding the result of the Galus vs Agwi match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Szczawno match between Piotr Galus and Michael Agwi. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Piotr Galus or Michael Agwi, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions at the event location could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the event itself could also cause the market to react, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.