TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 10:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Thurner and Linus Lagerbohm in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Thurner' if Noah Thurner advances against Linus Lagerbohm. This market will resolve to 'Linus Lagerbohm' if Linus Lagerbohm advances against Noah Thurner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Thurner and Linus Lagerbohm in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Thurner' if Noah Thurner advances against Linus Lagerbohm. This market will resolve to 'Linus Lagerbohm' if Linus Lagerbohm advances against Noah Thurner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ because they incorporate real-time betting activity and can shift more rapidly with new information. While sportsbooks may set fixed odds based on broader analysis, this market lets participants express their views directly through trading. The resulting price can sometimes appear more volatile or skewed toward recent performance, especially as Sep 8, 2026 approaches. Traders should compare both sources but remember that this market’s odds are driven purely by community participation and volume of $6,217.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will finalize the market based on publicly available records. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources as the event date approaches to ensure they are aware of any last-minute updates.
Several signals could impact this market as Sep 8, 2026 nears. Key matches featuring either player may shift expectations dramatically, especially if there are upsets or injury updates. Performance metrics such as serve efficiency or recent form statistics often influence trader behavior. Media coverage highlighting tactical advantages or psychological factors can also create momentum swings. As the tournament progresses, any change in seeding or draw alterations might redirect market focus. Finally, weather conditions or venue-specific variables could affect play dynamics, prompting rapid adjustments in this market’s odds before it resolves.