TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Linus Lagerbohm and John Hallquist Lithen in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linus Lagerbohm' if Linus Lagerbohm advances against John Hallquist Lithen. This market will resolve to 'John Hallquist Lithen' if John Hallquist Lithen advances against Linus Lagerbohm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Linus Lagerbohm and John Hallquist Lithen in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linus Lagerbohm' if Linus Lagerbohm advances against John Hallquist Lithen. This market will resolve to 'John Hallquist Lithen' if John Hallquist Lithen advances against Linus Lagerbohm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own research and insights. If there’s a significant discrepancy between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for a specific outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Szczawno match between Linus Lagerbohm and John Hallquist Lithen. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Linus Lagerbohm or John Hallquist Lithen could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, broader trends in the M15 Szczawno tournament or general sentiment around the players' performance could drive price movements. Increased trading volume, particularly concentrated on one outcome, would also be a strong signal of changing expectations.