TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Sadzik and Alan Wazny in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Alan Wazny. This market will resolve to 'Alan Wazny' if Alan Wazny advances against Jan Sadzik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Sadzik and Alan Wazny in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Alan Wazny. This market will resolve to 'Alan Wazny' if Alan Wazny advances against Jan Sadzik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance their risk, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market lifecycle, as information becomes available and opinions converge. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Sadzik vs Wazny match. The price of each share reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's efficiency depends on the number of participants and the information they incorporate into their trading decisions. The price movements indicate how the crowd's expectations are changing as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Szczawno match between Jan Sadzik and Alan Wazny. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could shift the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as expressed through social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, such as a change in venue or schedule, could also cause significant price movements. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is key to understanding how this market might evolve.