TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 5:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Chlodnicki and Maciej Matuszczyk in the M15 Szczawno, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Chlodnicki' if Jan Chlodnicki advances against Maciej Matuszczyk. This market will resolve to 'Maciej Matuszczyk' if Maciej Matuszczyk advances against Jan Chlodnicki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Chlodnicki and Maciej Matuszczyk in the M15 Szczawno, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Chlodnicki' if Jan Chlodnicki advances against Maciej Matuszczyk. This market will resolve to 'Maciej Matuszczyk' if Maciej Matuszczyk advances against Jan Chlodnicki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and unique betting dynamics. Traders on Polymarket may reflect insider insights or recent fighter performance updates that sportsbooks have not yet adjusted for. This can create opportunities where this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook favorites, especially if new information emerges about injuries, strategy changes, or form. Monitoring both can provide a broader perspective on market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result — either a win for one fighter, a draw, or any other formally recognized conclusion. Once the fight concludes and results are widely reported, the market updates to reflect the confirmed winner, finalizing all positions for traders.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute injury updates, changes to fighting strategies revealed in media interviews, or betting volume surges from high-profile traders. As the event draws nearer, any public commentary from coaches or performance metrics released ahead of time may also influence trader sentiment. Even broad sports news coverage reflecting on each fighter’s recent form can cause noticeable price swings on Polymarket before the match begins.