TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Salazar and Wojciech Marek in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Salazar' if Daniel Salazar advances against Wojciech Marek. This market will resolve to 'Wojciech Marek' if Wojciech Marek advances against Daniel Salazar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Salazar and Wojciech Marek in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Salazar' if Daniel Salazar advances against Wojciech Marek. This market will resolve to 'Wojciech Marek' if Wojciech Marek advances against Daniel Salazar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it may suggest that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. The market is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that reflects collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Szczawno match between Daniel Salazar and Wojciech Marek. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner or if the match ends in a draw. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome as determined by these publicly available results.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or strategies could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders could also create price fluctuations, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.