TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 4:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Salazar and Michael Agwi in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Salazar' if Daniel Salazar advances against Michael Agwi. This market will resolve to 'Michael Agwi' if Michael Agwi advances against Daniel Salazar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Salazar and Michael Agwi in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Salazar' if Daniel Salazar advances against Michael Agwi. This market will resolve to 'Michael Agwi' if Michael Agwi advances against Daniel Salazar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, this market may move in a different direction. Discrepancies can arise due to varying information access, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Salazar vs Agwi fight.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Salazar vs Agwi fight.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Salazar vs Agwi fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authorities. This includes determining the winner of the fight according to the established rules of the sport. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their shareholdings.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Daniel Salazar or Michael Agwi would likely cause significant movement. Updates on their training camps, changes in weight class, or even pre-fight press conference statements could also shift market sentiment. Additionally, any shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could impact trading volume and price adjustments as traders react to new information regarding the Salazar vs Agwi fight.