TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 3:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Behr and Gabriel Sardo in the M15 Sibenik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Behr' if Rafael Behr advances against Gabriel Sardo. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Sardo' if Gabriel Sardo advances against Rafael Behr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Behr and Gabriel Sardo in the M15 Sibenik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Behr' if Rafael Behr advances against Gabriel Sardo. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Sardo' if Gabriel Sardo advances against Rafael Behr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of shares indicates the market’s assessment of each player’s chances of winning, and the total volume traded demonstrates the level of interest and conviction among traders. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders respond to news and updates about the players and the match itself.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sibenik tennis match between Rafael Behr and Gabriel Sardo. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact their perceived chances of winning. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.