TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niels Peter Van Noord and Oliver Pivnik in the M15 Sibenik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niels Peter Van Noord' if Niels Peter Van Noord advances against Oliver Pivnik. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Pivnik' if Oliver Pivnik advances against Niels Peter Van Noord. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niels Peter Van Noord and Oliver Pivnik in the M15 Sibenik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niels Peter Van Noord' if Niels Peter Van Noord advances against Oliver Pivnik. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Pivnik' if Oliver Pivnik advances against Niels Peter Van Noord. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information surfaces, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current probability of a specific outcome is determined by the ratio of shares traded for each player, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sibenik tennis match between Niels Peter Van Noord and Oliver Pivnik, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winning player, as determined by the official score, will dictate the settlement of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also play a role. Furthermore, broader tennis news or upsets in other tournaments could indirectly affect perceptions of the players involved. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve before it resolves.