TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiang Yi Qing and Piotr Galus in the M15 Sibenik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiang Yi Qing' if Jiang Yi Qing advances against Piotr Galus. This market will resolve to 'Piotr Galus' if Piotr Galus advances against Jiang Yi Qing. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiang Yi Qing and Piotr Galus in the M15 Sibenik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiang Yi Qing' if Jiang Yi Qing advances against Piotr Galus. This market will resolve to 'Piotr Galus' if Piotr Galus advances against Jiang Yi Qing. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there's a lot of uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is visible on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jiang Yi Qing vs Piotr Galus match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, or even significant betting activity from known sports bettors, could also impact the market. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location, or even a change in the surface being played on, could also cause movement in this market as traders reassess the probabilities.