TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Drazen Petrovic and Hrvoje Jutresa in the M15 Sibenik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Drazen Petrovic' if Drazen Petrovic advances against Hrvoje Jutresa. This market will resolve to 'Hrvoje Jutresa' if Hrvoje Jutresa advances against Drazen Petrovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Drazen Petrovic and Hrvoje Jutresa in the M15 Sibenik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Drazen Petrovic' if Drazen Petrovic advances against Hrvoje Jutresa. This market will resolve to 'Hrvoje Jutresa' if Hrvoje Jutresa advances against Drazen Petrovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. If polls or analysts heavily favor one competitor, you might see the prediction market odds diverge from traditional sportsbooks. However, as the event approaches, the two often converge as more information is priced in, offering a unique perspective on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders acting as both market makers and informed speculators. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Drazen Petrovic vs Hrvoje Jutresa match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and established reporting standards to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions impacting the match could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, could also cause price fluctuations. Major announcements about the players’ form or fitness levels would likely have a substantial impact. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s probability assessments leading up to Oct 4, 2026.