TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vasyl Makarenko and Justas Trainauskas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vasyl Makarenko' if Vasyl Makarenko advances against Justas Trainauskas. This market will resolve to 'Justas Trainauskas' if Justas Trainauskas advances against Vasyl Makarenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vasyl Makarenko and Justas Trainauskas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vasyl Makarenko' if Vasyl Makarenko advances against Justas Trainauskas. This market will resolve to 'Justas Trainauskas' if Justas Trainauskas advances against Vasyl Makarenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. It’s common to see this market move more efficiently as new information emerges, potentially offering different value than traditional sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions among bettors and prediction market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Vasyl Makarenko and Justas Trainauskas. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the official tournament results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also affect perceptions of player momentum and overall confidence. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could also drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market.