TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niklas Waldner and Andre Meinertz in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Waldner' if Niklas Waldner advances against Andre Meinertz. This market will resolve to 'Andre Meinertz' if Andre Meinertz advances against Niklas Waldner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niklas Waldner and Andre Meinertz in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Waldner' if Niklas Waldner advances against Andre Meinertz. This market will resolve to 'Andre Meinertz' if Andre Meinertz advances against Niklas Waldner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Niklas Waldner and Andre Meinertz, as determined by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ physical condition, recent performance, or changes in their playing style could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, even those not directly related to the players, can sometimes affect trading activity. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match, or even social media commentary, might also contribute to movement in this market.